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Wednesday, August 03, 2005

Analyzing Average Draft Information

Many people participate in mock drafts. In doing this they create data that can be used by others called Average Draft Position. Based upon a scoring system similar to your own, you can get insight into who when at or around what pick and use that to assess whether or not a player will be available to you when it is you pick.
Using the information compiled over at AntSports, we researched this based on a high performance scoring system, with a flexible lineup that includes a tight end. We also just included serious mock drafts and the last week of data.

The results of what would be the first 2 rounds of a 12 team draft follow:
1. LaDainian Tomlinson RB - not quite a consensus number 1, but a safe pick
2. Shaun Alexander RB - A high pick and the data states he was Number 1 in a few drafts
3. Priest Holmes RB - Alexander probably leap-frogged him based on injury concerns
4. Edgerrin James RB - No problem here, the Colt offense is not centered around him

So real issues - all would be good picks at the top of the draft...

5. Peyton Manning QB - Highest I have seen a QB in a long time - can't argue with 49 TD's

It is a tough decision to make in the middle of the first round, but he will not be there on the return trip.

6. Deuce McAllister RB - Up and down
7. Willis McGahee RB - Great year last year - can he repeat?
8. Domanick Davis RB - Still the man in Houston
9. Clinton Portis RB - Sub par year last year
10. Jamal Lewis RB - Can he stay out of trouble?
11. Randy Moss WR - Raider nation has the vertical threat now
12. Kevin Jones RB - Not enough balls to go around?

So there is the average first round. We see mostly all running backs, 1 quarterback and 1 wide receiver. We believe that the valuation of some of these players is a bit off - Kevin Jones as the 12th pick is pretty high based on last year, and Randy Moss we belive is overvalued based on the team change. Let's look at the second round to see who would move up or down.

13. Tiki Barber RB - Did great on a crappy team last year
14. Corey Dillon RB - No respect...should be taken before K. Jones
15. Julius Jones RB - Bledsoe opens some lanes for Tuna's guy?
16. Ahman Green RB - how the mighty have fallen
17. Terrell Owens WR - In Camp - same T.O.?
18. Rudi Johnson RB - More pressure from Chris Perry this year
19. Torry Holt WR - Believe he is undervalued and may be the #1 WR
20. Dante Culpepper QB - may drop to Earth without Moss
21. Brian Westbrook RB - holding out - 1500 yds, 9 TD's 73 catches last year
22. Chad Johnson WR - more comfortable with Palmer now
23. Marvin Harrison WR - TD's and Yds by comittee now
24. Lamont Jordon RB - How the RB's have disappeared - did you get one?

So 2 rounds done - did you get your RB yet? This is why everyone puts a premium on trying to get 2 solid backs in the first couple rounds - 24 picks - 18 running backs - now you have to play guess the breakout back or let's hope he can be a stud this year game.

Best team - I like the Priest Holmes, Chad Johnson or Edgerrin James, Brian Westbrook, if I ended up with P. Manning and T. Holt that would be interesting as well.

So get prepared - keep up with the news, mock draft and check the average picks so you can get a leg up in your league.


Blogger Theresa said...

Thanks so much for your information. It is helping me tremendously to keep up with my brother!

8/03/2005 11:24:00 AM  
Blogger Fantasy gods said...

We are here to help ;)

8/04/2005 06:37:00 AM  
Anonymous intheloop said...

What about Ricky Williams? Should he get bumped up or do you think he'll ride the bench this year behind Brown?

8/05/2005 02:44:00 PM  
Blogger Fantasy gods said...

We are taking the wait and see approach with Ricky - Camp should tell a story - remember though he has a 4 game suspension to deal with.

8/06/2005 05:31:00 AM  
Blogger Fantasy gods said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

8/06/2005 05:32:00 AM  
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